15 years on from the Bali bombings and what have we learned and how have things changed?
That’s the question posed by Judith Jacob, whose Twitter account here proceeds to answer in 15 tweets that I happen to agree with.
I am aware that sometimes the scope of sources I draw upon is limited, so here is a piece from The Economist on the current unpredictabilty of Indonesian politics.
I don’t consider the analysis particularly deep or insightful, but if you are interested it is a conveniently short read.
Events in the southern Philippines are easily overshadowed by the nuclear fuelled great power games currently taking place in north Asia, but for residents on the ground in and around Marawi City the threat of imminent death isn’t in the future.
Following on from my earlier post here, as a historical snapshot there are great pieces of photojournalism here and here to take you inside the unfolding horrors, featuring some powerful photos acccompanied by some high quality text.
For those readers not following events closely there is a report summarising the conflict here, with other articles for balance here and here and the Lowy Institute’s take on the symptoms and solutions here.
While by no means the most sophisticated or nuanced summary, it is a good primer for those readers at the very start of their understanding.
For those readers who have moved beyond the basics and seek a deeper understanding I suggest you review and reflect on the Reuters picture of the ASEAN national leaders holding hands in the story header.
A whole universe of understanding opens up when considering the body language, alignment and personal distancing containined in that picture!
The post heading is the title of a recently released publication available here.
This is a high quality publication with input from some of the giants in the field of Southeast Asian studies. I highly recommend the work, but (gentle hint) it is written for serious scholars.
Putting together a quick post, I decided to return to one of my original interests in Southeast Asia and look again at the region’s Muslim populations.
I am conscious of and seek to respect the ethics around copyright protections, so in this post I will simply insert hyperlinks.
A couple of years later Tom Pepinsky contributed his work to the topic here. I am always fascinated by information presented diferently, and the cartogram in that link prompted me to search for what else might be available.
That led me to the great infographic from The Observer that is reproduced here. One problem I have with presenting that to you dear readers is that it again reinforces the nexus in the public consciousness between Islam and terror. To my mind that says more about the focal points of the Western media and their perception of what is of interest to their readers. That is fair enough from a commercial perspective, but it sells short (no pun intended) the vast number of other intriguing stories on what is happening with Islam in the region.
There is, for example, my recent post here on the dynamics on who is now becoming more and less welcome in Indonesia. There is fascinating work on Islamic education in Myanmar available here, revelations about Asia Islamic Fashion Week here and here, stories on Malaysia’s efforts to become a global hub of Islamic finance here and further cementing of ties between the region and the Middle East with Saudi Arabia’s King Salman bin Abdulaziz sending an invitation to Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah, Sultan of Brunei Darussalam, inviting him to attend the Arab-Islamic-US summit, set to take place in Riyadh later in May available here.
Again, there is a lot happening, but little that bubbles to the surface of Western media.
The most recent graphic I could find on Southeast Asia’s Muslim population, again from the Pew Research Centre, is available here. The numbers in the graphic look neat are precise, but the true picture is messier, more complicated and much, much more intriguing.
Sinking of the first Prince of Wales on 10 December 1941
In the intial post here I mentioned the last time the British sent the pride of their fleet, the capital ship Prince of Wales, to
see off the Asian challege to the white man demonstrate that Britain still ruled the waves. That Prince of Wales is now on the sea floor off the coast of Kuantan, Malaysia, or would be if the metal from the wreck is not being pirated as described here.
Lest anyone think that history never repeats itself, or that the British still haven’t got the hint that the world has moved on from their great power ambitions, the British now plan to do exactly the same thing with their next Prince of Wales. As described here they intend to use their new naval toy next to show the
Japanese Chinese who are the masters and who are the servants in the international order.
The new Prince of Wales is just as shiny, strategically impotent and as attractive a target as the last one. The newer ship is also much, much bigger and is unlikely to be attacked by Japan, but those who know their history will know that it was a lack of air cover that doomed the first Prince of Wales.
The more recent Prince of Wales will be protected by the new do-everything Lightning II multi-role fighters. Given the genuine fears over that plane’s development program and ultimate combat performance and how, like the Japanese, the Chinese are unlikely to be intimidated by Britsh bluster and strategic overreach, I can’t imagine what could possibly go wrong this time either…
Among the biggest frustrations with this blog is the number of great topics to explore and so little time in which to write about them.
I will as a result quickly flag the possibility that Indonesia is, in a historical sense, in the midst of another national identity crisis. There are two ways a nation state works its way through such doubt, seen in efforts to define both what the country is and what the country is not. In practice, this manifests itself as painting certain social groups as being welcome and unwelcome.
Efforts to make others unwelcome are always more newsworthy, particularly for outsiders seeing Indonesia through the prism of international media.
You can define non-Muslims as being unwelcome neighbours, seen here, but they also need to be the right kind of Muslims or they too are unwelcome, as seen here. Of course there are the unwelcome others that persistently rejected, rightly or wrongly, for their perceived threat to the very fabric of Indonesian society. Chief among these recurring targets of moral panic are drug dealers here and gays as seen here and here.
And who is welcome? Sadly anyone with enough money. Even a strange and seedy tinpot President like the one mentioned here. Sad.
Image source: Pew Research Centre here
Again the data is getting a bit older than the ideal, but the great graphic from the Pew Research Centre here is very revealing.
Some of the sentiments expressed have very deep roots. Some of the strongest indicators of support can possibly be traced back over a century to Japan’s stunning challenge to Western colonial powers. This assertion of Japanese self-reliance and confidence was seen in the Russian/Japanese War, subsequently gained further credence in World War 2 and was, arguably, the ultimate inspiration for many acts of national independence through Southeast Asia last century.
Another point I would note is that countries that see themselves as inferior to another tend not to go to war against that state. In contrast, powers that see themselves as equals are often locked into, at best, an endless state of friction and at worst an inevitable conflict. The comparable degrees of disdain felt among Japan, China and South Korea for each other bode poorly.
An alternative interpretation of this point is that the countries in the region who see other Asian states so far above them are betraying an ingrained sense of inferiority at the “superior” state. If this is the case, South Korea really does have a lot of image promotion work to do.
The final pont I would make is that the data may suggest that the generation that survived World War 2 really has passed into history. Little in the data above suggests a lingering resentment for the barbarity of Japanese invaders during World War 2. The exception is perhaps in South Korea and Japan, where those wounds run particularly and grieviously deep in the national psyche.
I could say a lot more here, but alas time is always the enemy of us all.
Sadly this blog rarely visits Myanmar, but that is hardly because all is well in that part of the world. One area that is particularly troubled, and has been for some time, is Rakhine State in the west of the country.
As the recently released World Food Program report (available here) makes clear, food security continues to deteriorate. To quote from the report…
“…the survey confirmed a worsening of the food security situation in already highly vulnerable areas after the October 2016 incidents and subsequent security operations. Nearly one third of the population was severely food-insecure and in need of humanitarian assistance. Only 14 percent of women achieved minimum dietary diversity and none of the children met the minimum adequate diet. Income opportunities were scarce and households could not access sufficient food to cover their needs. About half of the markets were not functioning or were only partially operational, food prices were highly volatile and supply of affordable foods in many markets was scarce”.
With over 80,000 children under 5 years of age expected to suffer acute malnutrition over the next twelve months the unfolding humanitarian disaster shouldn’t be forgotten, but probably will be by those unaffected.